Battle of the burbs: Virginia House races to see

Editor’s Note: This history will be updated during election day to reflect incoming election results. Last updated on Tuesday, November 2 at 13:35 ET.

The Virginia Democrats’ majority in the House of Representatives and their progressive agenda are at stake in Tuesday’s election, as Republicans aim to gain influence back in the State House through key suburban races.

Why it’s important: While the race for Virginia’s next governor has dominated the headlines, what’s happening in the Commonwealth Delegate’s House can preview what’s going on around the country in next year’s midterm elections.

  • Virginia Democrats have achieved major political goals over the past two years – from criminal justice reform, easing restrictions on abortions and expanding voting rights, reports the AP.

What they say: A strong display by Republican Glenn Youngkin in the gubernatorial race could raise the GOP in downward voting.

  • “Democrats have about a 2-1 fundraising advantage in house races, but it seems that party voting and momentum are stronger than money,” said Mark Rozell, dean of the Schar School of Policy and Government at George Mason University.

But: Even if Republicans draw a majority in Parliament and win the governorship, Democrats have a majority in the state Senate, where elections will not take place until 2023.

  • “The Senate will be the wall to prevent Republicans from regretting much of the progressive agenda that Democrats have adopted over the past four years,” he told Axios.

Zoom in: Here are some Northern Virginia races that we are very aware of:

District 10: Wendy Gooditis (D) vs. Nick Clemente (R)

  • Gooditis benefited from the anti-Trump sentiment in 2017 to defeat a Republican in power representing parts of the Loudoun, Clarke and Frederick Counties.
  • This year, Gooditis is locked in a competitive race that has broken fundraising records, with Clemente close to her in donations, the Washington Post reports.

District 40: Dan Helmer (D) vs. Harold Pyon (R)

  • This district, which covers parts of Fairfax and Prince William counties, is fierce competition as Republicans seek to regain control of incumbent Helmer, who turned the district from red to blue in 2019 for the first time since the 1990s, the Prince William Times reports . Abortion access, which the candidates are divided on, has become a hotspot in this race.
  • In September, Pyon’s campaign was accused of distributing anti-Semitic broadcasts about Helmer, which the campaign denied as anti-Semitic.

2nd district: Candi PM King (D) mod Gina R. Ciarcia (R)

  • Share. King won the seat in a special election in January to represent parts of Prince William and Stafford counties.
  • Both King and Ciarcia kept to their respective party’s main points of discussion during a debate last month, reports Inside NOVA.

District 31: Elizabeth Guzman (D) vs. Ben Baldwin (R)

  • The incumbent Guzman is seeking his third term. Baldwin, a Navy veteran, is currently working as a financial advisor.
  • Guzman has stressed the importance of supporting workers throughout the campaign. Baldwin has focused on improving what he calls Virginia’s bad pandemic response.

51st district: Briana D. Sewell (D) and Tim D. Cox (R)

  • The 51st district seat in Prince William County is up for grabs after incumbent Hala Ayala (D) decided to renounce re-election to run for lieutenant government.
  • Republican Cox has focused her campaign on opposing critical race theory, increasing funding for law enforcement and adoption as an alternative to abortion, while Democrat Sewell has said she wants to establish a public health department in the county, protect a woman’s right to choose and expand. paid leave, informs Inside NoVa.

52nd District: Luke Torian (D) vs. Maria Martin (R)

  • Torian has represented the 52nd District since 2010. In addition to elevating Martin in this election, the established power has spent half a million dollars on supporting other Democratic delegates around the state, reports Inside NOVA.
  • Martin runs towards Torian for the second time. During her first campaign, she put a lot of focus on her anti-abortion attitude, reports Inside NOVA. This time, she has focused on several issues, including school choices, raising teacher salaries and lowering taxes.

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